How cream.run works

cream watches a small, measured group of the most profitable traders onchain and turns what they're actually holding into a vault per market (long, short, or flat). This page explains the whole machine: who gets listened to, how a verdict is formed, and how the vault positions on it.

1 · The big picture

Some traders are verifiably, consistently good. They've made millions over years, in public, onchain, where anyone can check. cream.run tracks a curated group of them. Every 5 minutes we take a snapshot of what each one is holding, combine those positions into a single verdict per market, and each vault mirrors that verdict.

No prediction models, no black box. The only input is what proven traders are actually doing with their own money, right now.

2 · The roster: who gets listened to

The roster starts from Hyperliquid's public leaderboard, where every wallet's performance is visible to anyone. From there it's a funnel: hard filters throw out the noise, a composite ranking keeps the best 200, and then we measure everyone ourselves before a single vote counts.

Hard filters: a wallet qualifies with at least $50K of account value, at least $100K traded in the last 30 days, activity within the past week, and lifetime profitability. Qualification earns observation, not a vote: every 5 minutes we snapshot each wallet's positions and equity and score it the way a hedge fund scores its managers, building a skill score q from measured Sharpe, Sortino, and max drawdown, percentile ranked against the whole cohort and re-scored daily.
Ranking: qualifying wallets are ranked on a weighted composite of lifetime PnL (half the weight), 30-day return, and 30-day volume. The top 200 constitute the tracked roster, refreshed daily.
The voting bar: a wallet votes only after ~10 hours of observed history and only while its measured skill clears the quality bar. Fall below it, and the wallet keeps being watched but stops being heard.

3 · The voting room

Picture each market as a room. Every voter with a position in that market walks in and votes: long (price goes up) or short (price goes down). The vault holds whatever the room decides, but not every voice is equally loud. Two things set a trader's volume:

Track record

The main thing. The skill score q from the roster funnel: measured, not claimed. It counts disproportionately: someone twice as skilled speaks four times as loud.

Skin in the game

A trader betting their whole account believes it more than one dabbling with 5%, so bet size raises their voice, but only gently. A maxed-out bet makes you less than twice as loud. Skill first, bet size second: one reckless whale can never out-shout ten skilled traders.

4 · From vote to position

The room's verdict is a number between −100% and +100%: how lopsided the vote was. The vault simply holds that fraction of its book in the market and keeps the rest in cash. A verdict of "40% short" means 40% of the vault's book is short and 60% sits safely in dollars.

Positions are always taken at 1×, with no leverage. The position is never bigger than the money behind it, so a bad day is a bruise, not a wipeout, and liquidation is remote by construction.

The vault also never copies individual trades. It reacts to positions: a trader's trade only matters if it changed what they're holding by the next 5-minute snapshot.

5 · Reading the site

The vaults table is one row per market:

Days: how long this vault's live track record has been running.
Call: the room's current verdict: Long, Short, or Flat (in cash).
Allocation: how much of the vault's book is deployed in the position; the rest is cash.
Pros: how many tracked traders currently hold a position in this market.
Vs Hold: the vault's return compared to simply buying and holding the asset over the same period.

Each vault page adds four views:

Price chart: the asset's real market price (from Lighter), with the vault's position drawn over it: green above the midline when long, red below when short, flat at its latest value.
Positioning over time: the raw verdict history: how the room's lean has moved, tick by tick, since day one.
Vault vs. holding: two lines starting from the same point: the vault's value and a simple buy-and-hold. The gap (Diff) is what following the smart money added or cost, over 1 day, 7 days, or all time.
Who's driving it: the actual traders behind the current call: their direction, how much of their own book they've committed, and their skill score.